The 48-hour window: US military timing and oil prices

The US struck Iran early Saturday morning. It was the same way with Venezuela. That’s not a coincidence.

One of the first things I noticed with the US military action in Iran is that it happened early Saturday morning.

That’s almost exactly the same timing for the capture of Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela.

Why does that timing make sense?

Because the Trump administration is committed to driving oil prices as low as possible.

They know these kinds of geopolitical interventions in oil-focused theaters can create price spikes.

If you initiate conflict late on Friday or early on Saturday, you give traders nearly two full days to process what happened and what it might mean for commodities markets.

You don’t risk an immediate buying action that can become a market-wide contagion.

You give traders time to take a deep breath and assess before acting.

With US oil prices again approaching $70, the Trump administration will want to do everything it can to not drive prices any higher.

The timing of these strikes is consistent with that aim.

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